Imodeli Yokusabalalisa Izinhlobo Zezindawo Zokusabalalisa Nokulondolozwa Kwezigebe Ezincane Ezimhlophe E-Siberia Ngaphansi Kokushintsha Kwesimo Sezulu.

Izinhlobo (Izinyoni):Ihansi Elimhlophe Eliphansi Eliphansi(Anser erythropus)

Ijenali:Umhlaba

Abstract:

Ukushintsha kwesimo sezulu sekuyimbangela ebalulekile yokulahlekelwa indawo yokuhlala yezinyoni kanye noshintsho ekufudukeni kwezinyoni nokuzala. Ihansi elinengaphambili elincane elimhlophe (i-Anser erythropus) linezinhlobonhlobo zemikhuba yokufuduka futhi lifakwe ohlwini olusengozini yohlu Olubomvu lwe-IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature). Kulolu cwaningo, ukusatshalaliswa kwezindawo ezifanelekayo zokuzalela ihansi elinengaphambili elincane elimhlophe kwahlolwa eSiberia, eRussia, kusetshenziswa inhlanganisela yokulandelela ngesathelayithi kanye nedatha yokushintsha kwesimo sezulu. Izici zokusatshalaliswa kwezindawo zokuzalanisa ezifanele ngaphansi kwezimo zezulu ezihlukene esikhathini esizayo zabikezelwa kusetshenziswa imodeli kaMaxent, futhi kwahlolwa izikhala zokuvikela. Ukuhlaziywa kwabonisa ukuthi ngaphansi kwesizinda sokushintsha kwesimo sezulu esizayo, izinga lokushisa kanye nemvula kuyoba yizici zezulu eziyinhloko ezithinta ukusatshalaliswa kwezindawo ezizalela kuzo, futhi indawo ehlotshaniswa nezindawo zokuzalanisa ezifanele izokwethula inkambiso enciphayo. Izindawo ezisohlwini lwezindawo zokuhlala ezifanele zibalwa kuphela ku-3.22% wokusabalalisa okuvikelekile; Nokho, 1,029,386.341 km²yendawo yokuhlala efanele ibonwe ngaphandle kwendawo evikelekile. Ukuthola idatha yokusatshalaliswa kwezinhlobo zezilwane kubalulekile ekuthuthukiseni ukuvikelwa kwezindawo zokuhlala ezindaweni ezikude. Imiphumela evezwe lapha inganikeza isisekelo sokuthuthukisa amasu okulawula indawo yemvelo ethile futhi ibonise ukuthi ukunakwa okwengeziwe kufanele kugxile ekuvikeleni izindawo ezivulekile.